Who is going to make Government in the upcoming UP elections 2017

Uttar Pradesh's 17th legislative assembly elections of 403 seats are approaching. These elections will be held from 7 february to 8 march , 2017 in 7 phases. These elections are known to be very important elections for standing parties because UP has the highest no. of legislative seat share in India. To make government in UP, a party should have majority seats of 202
Four major parties of UP elections-:

1. Samajwadi party (S.P.)

2. Bahujan Samaj Party (B.S.P.)

3. Bhartiya Janta Party (B.J.P.)

4. Indian National Congress (I.N.C.)

This time S.P. and I.N.C. are in alliance. The leader of S.P. is Akhilesh Yadav. Akhilesh Yadav also leading congress and SP alliance.
The leader of BSP is Mayawati, who is a very experienced politician.
The leader of BJP is not elected yet.

All the parties and alliance claiming that they are going to get full majority in UP elections.
Many media have done many opinion polls for a year about these election
Some of them are stated below-:

 ABP News-:

BSP-: 81 seats

SP+INC-: 192 seats

BJP-: 123 seats

No one is getting clear majority

News 24-:

BSP-: 76

BJP-: 120

SP+INC-: 191

No clear majority

Times Now-:

BSP-: 47

BJP-: 202

SP+INC-: 147

BJP is getting majority seats

India Today-:

BSP-: 41

BJP-: 186

SP+INC-: 173

No one is getting majority seats

Most of the opinion polls claiming that no one is going to get full majority.

Our honest prediction about UP's 17th legislative assembly Election Result -:

Disclaimer- Our prediction result is totally based on stats and facts. We are not here to promote any party. If you are sensitive about it, then please don't read it from here. Sensitive people stay away from this blog.

After demonetization , People have divided into two  categories-:
-Those who are in favor of it and in favor of BJP 
-Those who are against it and anti BJP
I don't want to look UP elections from caste aspect but this is important to predict the result specially in U.P.

Population share of Uttar Pradesh -:

OBC -: 40%

SCs -: 21.1%

STs -: 0.1%

Forward castes -: 22%

Muslims -: 19.3%

Christians -: 0.18%

Predicted Vote Share of different Parties by the majority of peoples of different castes -:

BSP -: SCs + STs = 21.1 + 0.1 = 21.2 %

BJP -: forward castes + Christians = 22 + 0.18 = 22.18%

SP -: OBCs = 40 %

Congress -: Muslims =19.3 %

Congress + SP -: 40+19.3%= 59.3%

By the above stats It is clear that the alliance of  congress + SP getting majority seats of around 215 - 220 seats.
But also we should not underestimate the modi power of BJP which can snatch some seats from alliance of congress and SP to get majority seats.
So, according to us, BJP is going make govt. with around 205 seats.

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Jai Hind

Jai Bharat